William and Mary
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
46  Regan Rome JR 19:46
322  Molly Breidenbaugh JR 20:37
419  Molly McKenna JR 20:47
633  Molly Applegate SR 21:07
824  Audrey Gordon JR 21:20
1,008  Charlotte Kowalk FR 21:32
1,243  Kathryn Eng SO 21:47
1,259  Rachel Snyder SO 21:48
1,309  Karina Tavares FR 21:51
1,331  Julia Wood FR 21:52
1,626  Deirdre Casey SO 22:10
1,764  Rachel Bloxom SO 22:18
2,139  Carina Garcia FR 22:42
2,148  Rachel Rabbitt SR 22:43
2,581  Carolyn Cunniffe SR 23:18
2,731  Deirdre Lewin FR 23:34
2,995  Lindsay Myers JR 24:13
3,047  Ana Suarez FR 24:23
3,108  Kathryn Vannoy JR 24:34
3,158  Abigail Hillerich SO 24:44
3,298  Stephanie Urbancik SO 25:24
3,299  Natalie Marcotullio SO 25:25
3,440  Ashley Anderson SO 26:25
National Rank #62 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #8 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 4.2%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 26.7%
Top 10 in Regional 83.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Regan Rome Molly Breidenbaugh Molly McKenna Molly Applegate Audrey Gordon Charlotte Kowalk Kathryn Eng Rachel Snyder Karina Tavares Julia Wood Deirdre Casey
William & Mary Invitational 09/16 911 20:00 20:23 20:58 21:42 22:14
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 865 19:31 20:34 21:11 21:19 21:00 21:28 22:37 21:50 21:59 22:08 21:22
Penn State National Open 10/14 884 19:51 20:32 20:55 21:17 21:12 21:45 21:47 21:47 22:19
The CNU Invitational 10/15 1276 21:45 21:48
Colonial Athletic Conference 10/29 848 20:07 20:27 20:39 20:53 21:28 21:41 21:22 21:50 21:50 21:43 22:43
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 853 19:43 21:39 20:22 20:57 21:42 21:07 21:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 4.2% 28.4 660 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.7 1.0
Region Championship 100% 7.6 248 4.2 6.1 6.9 9.6 10.9 10.9 11.9 12.0 10.7 8.3 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Regan Rome 71.1% 53.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7
Molly Breidenbaugh 4.2% 156.5
Molly McKenna 4.2% 184.0
Molly Applegate 4.2% 219.3
Audrey Gordon 4.2% 235.7
Charlotte Kowalk 4.2% 240.5
Kathryn Eng 4.2% 247.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Regan Rome 5.7 6.9 8.4 9.0 10.2 9.7 8.0 7.5 6.7 5.0 4.1 4.4 3.9 3.5 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2
Molly Breidenbaugh 34.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.5
Molly McKenna 44.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.7 1.0
Molly Applegate 68.6 0.1 0.1 0.1
Audrey Gordon 89.3
Charlotte Kowalk 109.8
Kathryn Eng 133.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 4.2% 100.0% 4.2 4.2 2
3 6.1% 6.1 3
4 6.9% 6.9 4
5 9.6% 9.6 5
6 10.9% 10.9 6
7 10.9% 10.9 7
8 11.9% 11.9 8
9 12.0% 12.0 9
10 10.7% 10.7 10
11 8.3% 8.3 11
12 4.1% 4.1 12
13 2.7% 2.7 13
14 1.3% 1.3 14
15 0.6% 0.6 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2 95.8 4.2 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Bucknell 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0